Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Sergey Fomin		Filip Peliwo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.42	2.87
	1.09	6.25	Watch
	1.4	2.73	Watch
	1.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.48)	3.47 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergey Fomin
72.1%

Filip Peliwo
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergey Fomin's performance.

Filip Peliwo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filip Peliwo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergey Fomin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Peliwo than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filip Peliwo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sergey Fomin - Filip Peliwo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fomin is ranked ATP: 330. Peliwo is ranked ATP: 474.

Recent form of Fomin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Peliwo has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Peliwo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fomin might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fomin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Sergey Fomin - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Enrico Baldisserri - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Sergey Fomin - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Sergey Fomin - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL
- Filip Peliwo
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Filip Peliwo - Izan Almazan Valiente	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.01.26	Nico Hipfl - Filip Peliwo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Filip Peliwo - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Martin Krumich - Filip Peliwo	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Anton Matusevich - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.07.24	Filip Peliwo - Sergey Fomin	0:2

Sergey Fomin - Filip Peliwo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide