The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sergey Fomin 42.7%
Marek Gengel 57.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergey Fomin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sergey Fomin's form might have worsened.
Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marek Gengel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergey Fomin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marek Gengel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Sergey Fomin - Marek Gengel Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fomin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Gengel will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gengel: 45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marek Gengel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Fomin is ranked ATP: 340.Gengel is ranked ATP: 415.
Recent performances by Fomin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gengel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Fomin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fomin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Sergey Fomin - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Marek Gengel - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.