Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion 2 (Greece), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday


	Sergey Fomin		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	2.95	1.33
	3	1.32
	3.09	1.34
	3.06	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.31	Watch
	3	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.28)	1.33 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergey Fomin
30.3%

Ryan Peniston
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergey Fomin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sergey Fomin's form might have worsened.

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryan Peniston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergey Fomin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryan Peniston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Fomin is ranked ATP: 532. Peniston is ranked ATP: 598.

Two players are playing changeable.

Peniston will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergey Fomin
ITF Tournaments
30.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.24	Constant Lestienne - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
14.10.24	Milos Karol - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Federico Salomone - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.24	Sergey Fomin - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWL
- Ryan Peniston
ITF Tournaments
30.10.24	Ryan Peniston - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.24	Trey Hilderbrand - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Ryan Peniston - Govind Nanda	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Ryan Peniston - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL

Sergey Fomin - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide