Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Antalya 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday


	Sergey Fomin		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
			Watch
	1.69	2.1	Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2)	2.03 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergey Fomin
54.2%

Tom Gentzsch
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergey Fomin's performance.

Tom Gentzsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tom Gentzsch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergey Fomin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tom Gentzsch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Fomin is ranked ATP: 555. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 457.

Fomin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gentzsch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fomin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergey Fomin
ITF Tournaments
30.03.25	Gabriel Ghetu - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Svyatoslav Gulin - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Sergey Fomin - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Sergey Fomin - Iker Sevilla	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Sergey Fomin - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWL
- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Tom Gentzsch - Loann Massard	1:2 ✺
10.03.25	Patrick Zahraj - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Felix Balshaw - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.25	Tom Gentzsch - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLL

Sergey Fomin - Tom Gentzsch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide