Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Sergi Fita Juan		Brandon Perez

	1	2
	1.26	3.4
	1.28	3.44
	1.23	3.67	Watch
	1.34	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)	3.39 ↑ (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergi Fita Juan
72.6%

Brandon Perez
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergi Fita Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Brandon Perez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergi Fita Juan than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergi Fita Juan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Perez than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Perez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sergi Fita Juan - Brandon Perez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fita Juan is ranked ATP: 1292. Perez is ranked ATP: 1010.

Fita Juan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Perez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Fita Juan is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergi Fita Juan
ITF Tournaments
19.08.25	Ryan Nijboer - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Noah Lopez Cherubino - Sergi Fita Juan	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Sergi Fita Juan - Reda Bennani	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Alexandr Binda - Sergi Fita Juan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Brandon Perez
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Jacob Brumm - Brandon Perez	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Victor Braga - Brandon Perez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Noah Schachter - Brandon Perez	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Volodymyr Gurenko - Brandon Perez	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Brandon Perez - Jose Pereira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

Sergi Fita Juan - Brandon Perez

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Sergi Fita Juan - Brandon Perez Predictions

Preview

Form

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