Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Manacor 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Sergio Callejon Hernando		Imanol Lopez Morillo

	1	2
	1.3	3.2
	1.27	3.35	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.26	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.44)	3.35 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergio Callejon Hernando
72.3%

Imanol Lopez Morillo
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergio Callejon Hernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergio Callejon Hernando's performance.

Imanol Lopez Morillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Imanol Lopez Morillo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergio Callejon Hernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imanol Lopez Morillo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imanol Lopez Morillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sergio Callejon Hernando - Imanol Lopez Morillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 527. Lopez Morillo is ranked ATP: 665.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Callejon Hernando may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Callejon Hernando is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Imanol Lopez Morillo - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Xavi Palomar	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Julian Alonso	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Xavi Palomar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Alberto Barroso Campos	Callejon H. S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLW?
- Imanol Lopez Morillo
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Motoharu Abe - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Ryder Jackson - Imanol Lopez Morillo	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Ivan Ivanov - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Duje Markovina - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Joao Domingues - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

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