Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guayaquil 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Sergio Castro Loedel		Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

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Sergio Castro Loedel
8.3%

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
91.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

91%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergio Castro Loedel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 519..

Performances by Rodriguez have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Castro Loedel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Rodriguez as the clear and undisputed favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergio Castro Loedel
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Sergio Castro Loedel - Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Fernando Cavallo - Sergio Castro Loedel	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 L?
- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Thiago Cigarran	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Franco Ribero - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	✺

Sergio Castro Loedel - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide