Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tsukuba, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Shinji Hazawa		Evan Zhu

	1	2
	1.7	1.98
	1.75	2.09
	1.15	4.60	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)	2.56 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinji Hazawa
61.6%

Evan Zhu
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinji Hazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shinji Hazawa's performance.

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evan Zhu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinji Hazawa than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shinji Hazawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evan Zhu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shinji Hazawa - Evan Zhu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hazawa is ranked ATP: 808. Zhu is ranked ATP: 748.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Zhu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinji Hazawa
ITF Tournaments
26.03.26	Shinji Hazawa - Yuta Kikuchi	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Shinji Hazawa - Gaku Nayuki	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Shinji Hazawa	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Shinji Hazawa - Yuta Kikuchi	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Shinji Hazawa - Axel Nefve	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW
- Evan Zhu
ITF Tournaments
26.03.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Tianhui Zhang - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Jie Cui - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Evan Zhu - Duck Hee Lee	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWL

Shinji Hazawa - Evan Zhu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide