Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Takasaki (Japan), hard

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday


	Shintaro Imai		Kousuke Ogura

	1	2
	1.22	3.7
	1.21	4.02
	1.22	3.8
	1.26	3.72	Watch
	1.22	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.45)	3.79 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Imai
75.5%

Kousuke Ogura
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Imai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shintaro Imai's performance.

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kousuke Ogura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Imai than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shintaro Imai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kousuke Ogura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Imai is ranked ATP: 447. Ogura is ranked ATP: 788.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Imai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Imai is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Imai won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Imai
ITF Tournaments
12.09.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Shintaro Imai	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Keisuke Saitoh - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
11.09.24	Hiroki Sakagawa - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Yuta Kawahashi - Shintaro Imai	2:1 ✺
03.09.24	Kazuki Nishiwaki - Shintaro Imai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW
- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
11.09.24	Kousuke Ogura - Ryotaro Taguchi	1:2 ✺
09.09.24	Kohei Hayashi - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Hikaru Shiraishi - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Kousuke Ogura - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Kousuke Ogura - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.12.23	Kousuke Ogura - Shintaro Imai	Ogura K. retired

Shintaro Imai - Kousuke Ogura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide