Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: TOKYO (JAPAN) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	22:15	beIN Sports
Brazil	08:15	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	14:15	Max Sport 3
Czech Republic	13:15	Eurosport 2
Denmark	13:15	TV2 Sport X
France	13:15	Eurosport 2
Germany	13:15	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	12:15	Sport TV2
Sweden	13:15	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	14:15	Setanta Sports


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.64	1.33
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.71)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
27.9%

Alexei Popyrin
72.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexei Popyrin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	0%	69.6%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Popyrin will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

In this match Popyrin is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Tokyo
19.10.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
ATP Asian Games
26.09.23	Chun Hsin Tseng - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Yshai Oliel - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWLLL
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Tokyo
18.10.23	Christian Garin - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Astana
29.09.23	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Alexei Popyrin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLL

Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexei Popyrin

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Preview

Form

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