Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Arthur Cazaux

	1	2
			Watch
	3.8	1.26
	3.7	1.22
	4.29	1.23
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	6.05	1.11	Watch
	6.9	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (3.1)	1.2 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
20.1%

Arthur Cazaux
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Cazaux's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Cazaux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Arthur Cazaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Cazaux will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cazaux is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cazaux could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cazaux is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cazaux to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Egor Gerasimov - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
08.08.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
30.07.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Kyle Seelig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW
- Arthur Cazaux
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Zizou Bergs - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.23	Arthur Cazaux - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
17.08.23	Jack Draper - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
16.08.23	Ulises Blanch - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
15.08.23	Kiranpal Pannu - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW

Shintaro Mochizuki - Arthur Cazaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide