Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WASHINGTON (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Gregoire Barrere

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.6	1.5
	2.6	1.5
	2.75	1.5
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.62	1.49	Watch
	2.65	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.2)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
36.2%

Gregoire Barrere
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Gregoire Barrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gregoire Barrere's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gregoire Barrere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Users Predictions: Gregoire Barrere will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Barrere could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barrere will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Washington
30.07.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Kyle Seelig	2:0 ✺
29.07.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Atlanta
22.07.23	Jason Jung - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
17.07.23	Liam Broady - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL
- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Denis Shapovalov - Gregoire Barrere	3:0 ✺
05.07.23	Lloyd Harris - Gregoire Barrere	1:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
01.07.23	Gregoire Barrere - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
29.06.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
28.06.23	Gregoire Barrere - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLWW

Shintaro Mochizuki - Gregoire Barrere: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide