Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.37	1.61
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.96)	1.59 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
40.8%

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shintaro Mochizuki's performance.

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shintaro Mochizuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diego Sebastian Schwartzman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Schwartzman will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwartzman: 41.6% – 98.4%.

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Preview

Mochizuki is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Schwartzman has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Schwartzman will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Acapulco
24.02.24	Rinky Hijikata - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
17.02.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
12.02.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Stefan Kozlov - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.24	Tomas Machac - Shintaro Mochizuki	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
20.02.24	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.24	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
06.02.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
09.01.24	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Shintaro Mochizuki - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide