Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Remy Bertola

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.7	1.95
	1.79	2.09
	1.65	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.85)	2.07 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
55%

Remy Bertola
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Remy Bertola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Remy Bertola than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Remy Bertola Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Shintaro Mochizuki will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shintaro Mochizuki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 138. Bertola is ranked ATP: 197.

In recent matches, Mochizuki has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bertola is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mochizuki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Remy Bertola - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Michael Zheng	2:1 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
06.06.26	Sander Jong - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Remy Bertola - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLL
- Remy Bertola
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Remy Bertola - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Remy Bertola - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Remy Bertola - William Jansen	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Luca Nardi - Remy Bertola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Remy Bertola - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1
ATP Challenger
14.01.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Remy Bertola	2:0
16.05.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Remy Bertola	0:2

Shintaro Mochizuki - Remy Bertola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide