Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom) - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Sho Shimabukuro		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	2.38	1.53
	2.45	1.5
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.49	1.55
	2.53	1.54
	2.38	1.53
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.36	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.77)	1.52 ↓ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
38.4%

Jesper De Jong
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sho Shimabukuro's form might have worsened.

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Sho Shimabukuro - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). De Jong will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Jong: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Shimabukuro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

De Jong is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shimabukuro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shimabukuro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Jozef Kovalik - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
11.06.24	Cameron Norrie - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
10.06.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?LWW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Denis Kudla - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.06.24	Daniel Altmaier - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
21.06.24	Martin Klizan - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
20.06.24	Alexander Weis - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Ignacio Buse - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.05.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Jesper De Jong	2:0

Sho Shimabukuro - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide