Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LILLE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.73	1.48
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2)	1.48 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
36.7%

Mattia Bellucci
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sho Shimabukuro's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sho Shimabukuro - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimabukuro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bellucci is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bellucci will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shimabukuro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Los Cabos
17.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
10.02.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
04.02.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Tennys Sandgren	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.01.24	Giovanni Fonio - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
16.01.24	Yan Bai - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
23.02.24	Mattia Bellucci - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
22.02.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Mattia Bellucci - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
14.02.24	Mattia Bellucci - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
12.02.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.06.23	Mattia Bellucci - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0

Sho Shimabukuro - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide