Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2 (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2024, Wednesday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Yan Bai

	1	2
	1.18	4.5	Watch
	1.25	3.6
	1.2	4	Watch
	1.27	3.85
	1.24	3.8	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.26	3.66	Watch
	1.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)	3.9 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
76%

Yan Bai
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sho Shimabukuro's performance.

Yan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yan Bai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yan Bai than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sho Shimabukuro - Yan Bai Predictions

Users Predictions: Sho Shimabukuro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 196. Bai is ranked ATP: 272.

Shimabukuro in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Bai is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shimabukuro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shimabukuro is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shimabukuro to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shimabukuro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Maxime Cressy - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
06.09.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWW
- Yan Bai
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Yan Bai - Blake Mott	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Yan Bai - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Yan Bai - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Yan Bai - Blake Mott	2:1 ✺
21.08.24	Ye Cong Mo - Yan Bai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Yan Bai - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2
16.01.24	Yan Bai - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2

Sho Shimabukuro - Yan Bai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide