Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tauranga, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday


	Shu Matsuoka		Keegan Smith

	1	2
	4.87	1.18
	4.92	1.12	Watch
	4.5	1.17
	4.35	1.18	Watch
	4.5	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (4.15)	1.16 ↓ (1.17)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shu Matsuoka
20%

Keegan Smith
80%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

78.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shu Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Shu Matsuoka - Keegan Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Matsuoka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Smith will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Matsuoka (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Matsuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Smith (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 1185. Smith is ranked ATP: 468.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Matsuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Smith is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shu Matsuoka
ITF Tournaments
17.12.25	Shu Matsuoka - Benjamin O`Connell	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Emile Hudd - Shu Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Shu Matsuoka - Tai Sach	0:2 ✺
09.12.25	Shu Matsuoka - Harry Roberts	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Shu Matsuoka - Aidan McHugh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL
- Keegan Smith
ITF Tournaments
17.12.25	Anton Shepp - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
16.12.25	Jesse Delaney - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Tai Sach - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
11.12.25	Daniel Jovanovski - Keegan Smith	Jovanovski D. retired ✺
10.12.25	Benjamin O`Connell - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWL?W

Shu Matsuoka - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide