Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Shuai Zhang		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	3.3	1.34
	3.1	1.33
	3.44	1.35
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.32	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.62)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shuai Zhang
29.8%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shuai Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shuai Zhang's form might have worsened.

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Alexandrova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Shuai Zhang - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Zhang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alexandrova is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zhang won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shuai Zhang
WTA Charleston
06.04.22	Shuai Zhang - Claire Liu	1:2 ✺
04.04.22	Shuai Zhang - Francesca Di Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
27.03.22	Cori Gauff - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
25.03.22	Shuai Zhang - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
23.03.22	Shuai Zhang - Clara Tauson	Tauson C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLW?
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Charleston
09.04.22	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
08.04.22	Magda Linette - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
07.04.22	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
06.04.22	Qinwen Zheng - Ekaterina Alexandrova	Zheng Q. retired ✺
04.04.22	Alexandra Kiick - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
29.08.19	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Shuai Zhang	1:2
WTA Toronto
07.08.19	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Shuai Zhang	2:0

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