Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Simona Waltert		Barbora Palicova

	1	2
	1.44	2.63
	1.36	2.95
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.46	2.8	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.43	2.77
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)	2.72 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
65.7%

Barbora Palicova
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simona Waltert's performance.

Barbora Palicova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barbora Palicova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbora Palicova than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	0%	88.5%

Simona Waltert - Barbora Palicova Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Waltert will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Palicova will win (votes: 23 - 88.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palicova: 76.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 174. Palicova is ranked WTA: 180.

Waltert is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Palicova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Waltert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Waltert will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
ATP Challenger
01.01.25	Sijia Wei - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
31.12.24	Elsa Jacquemot - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
30.12.24	Simona Waltert - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
29.12.24	Simona Waltert - Anouk Koevermans	2:1 ✺
28.12.24	Simona Waltert - Gabriella Da Silva Fick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW
- Barbora Palicova
ATP Challenger
29.12.24	Solana Sierra - Barbora Palicova	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Elena Micic - Barbora Palicova	0:2 ✺
06.12.24	Mona Barthel - Barbora Palicova	2:0 ✺
05.12.24	Barbora Palicova - Clervie Ngounoue	2:1 ✺
04.12.24	Barbora Palicova - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW

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