Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Simona Waltert		Dominika Salkova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.48
	1.56	2.36	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)	2.4 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
60.7%

Dominika Salkova
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simona Waltert's performance.

Dominika Salkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominika Salkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simona Waltert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominika Salkova than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominika Salkova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Simona Waltert - Dominika Salkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Waltert will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Salkova will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 97. Salkova is ranked WTA: 120.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Waltert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Waltert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Simona Waltert - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.6%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
WTA Madrid
20.04.26	Simona Waltert - Despina Papamichail	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Maja Chwalinska - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Rebeka Masarova - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Whitney Osuigwe - Simona Waltert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL
- Dominika Salkova
WTA Madrid
20.04.26	Ruth Roura Llaverias - Dominika Salkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
16.04.26	Dominika Salkova - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Anna Blinkova - Dominika Salkova	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Dominika Salkova - Veronika Podrez	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Dominika Salkova - Yasmine Mansouri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Simona Waltert - Dominika Salkova	2:1

Simona Waltert - Dominika Salkova