Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Parma, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Simona Waltert		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.67
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.75
	2.15	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.03	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.44)	1.68 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
44.5%

Renata Zarazua
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simona Waltert's performance.

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Renata Zarazua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simona Waltert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renata Zarazua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Simona Waltert - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zarazua (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Renata Zarazua will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 147. Zarazua is ranked WTA: 69.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Zarazua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zarazua will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Simona Waltert - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Simona Waltert - Xiyu Wang	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Anna Bondar - Simona Waltert	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Hanne Van De Winkel - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Tena Lukas - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Mona Barthel - Simona Waltert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL
- Renata Zarazua
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Patricia Maria Tig - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.25	Suzan Lamens - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Rebeka Masarova - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.25	Renata Zarazua - Marie Bouzkova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

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