Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Simona Waltert		Shuai Zhang

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.45	2.6
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.47	2.75
	1.46	2.67	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.47	2.63	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.84)	2.58 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
63.7%

Shuai Zhang
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simona Waltert's performance.

Shuai Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shuai Zhang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simona Waltert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shuai Zhang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Simona Waltert - Shuai Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: Simona Waltert will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Simona Waltert will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 137. Zhang is ranked WTA: 136.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Waltert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Waltert will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.25	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Mayar Sherif - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Marina Stakusic - Simona Waltert	1:2 ✺
14.05.25	Simona Waltert - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Simona Waltert - Xiyu Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW
- Shuai Zhang
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.25	Storm Hunter - Shuai Zhang	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Shuai Zhang - Xin Yu Wang	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.05.25	Shuai Zhang - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Emerson Jones - Shuai Zhang	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Wakana Sonobe - Shuai Zhang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWW

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