The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sloane Stephens 30.6%
Jessica Pegula 69.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
54.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
55.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sloane Stephens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sloane Stephens's form might have worsened.
Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pegula's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloane Stephens than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sloane Stephens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34.8%
0%
65.2%
Sloane Stephens - Jessica Pegula Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Stephens will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Pegula will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 45.7% – 84.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.
Pegula could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.