Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, SportKlub
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Sofia Kenin		Lucia Bronzetti

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.52	1.58
	2.52	1.58
	2.5	1.53
	2.45	1.56	Watch
	2.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.71)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofia Kenin
38.1%

Lucia Bronzetti
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Kenin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lucia Bronzetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sofia Kenin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucia Bronzetti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	7.7%	69.2%

Sofia Kenin - Lucia Bronzetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kenin will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Bronzetti will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bronzetti: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kenin is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bronzetti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bronzetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bronzetti will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kenin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Kenin
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Sofia Kenin - Ashlyn Krueger	1:2 ✺
01.05.24	Sofia Kenin - Irene Burillo Escorihuela	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
23.04.24	Sofia Kenin - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.24	Taylor Townsend - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.24	Katie Volynets - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Madrid
26.04.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Taylor Townsend	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
03.01.22	Lucia Bronzetti - Sofia Kenin	0:2

Sofia Kenin - Lucia Bronzetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide