Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday


	Lucia Bronzetti		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.05	1.78
	2.08	1.81
	2.08	1.82
	2.1	1.73
	2.12	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.74)	1.75 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Bronzetti
45.5%

Varvara Gracheva
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Bronzetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucia Bronzetti's form might have worsened.

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucia Bronzetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bronzetti will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Gracheva will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bronzetti: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Gracheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bronzetti won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Miami
19.03.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Taylor Townsend	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Magdalena Frech - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
WTA Austin
26.02.24	Yafan Wang - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWL
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Madrid
23.04.24	Elizabeth Mandlik - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
18.04.24	Varvara Gracheva - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Varvara Gracheva - Viktoriya Tomova	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.24	Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Bad Homburg
29.06.23	Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Gracheva	2:0
WTA Australian Open
16.01.22	Varvara Gracheva - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2

Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide