Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Leipzig, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Sohyun Park		Alena Kovackova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.40
	3.05	1.33
	2.96	1.41
	2.74	1.4	Watch
	2.90	1.39
	2.73	1.40	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.62)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sohyun Park
32.8%

Alena Kovackova
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sohyun Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Alena Kovackova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sohyun Park than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sohyun Park, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alena Kovackova than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alena Kovackova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sohyun Park - Alena Kovackova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Park is ranked WTA: 305. Kovackova is ranked WTA: 430.

Park is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kovackova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kovackova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kovackova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sohyun Park
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Tessa Johanna Brockmann - Sohyun Park	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Lola Giza - Sohyun Park	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Sohyun Park - Margaux Rouvroy	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Anastasiia Firman - Sohyun Park	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Zongyu Li - Sohyun Park	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Alena Kovackova
ITF Tournaments
11.07.26	Alena Kovackova - Eva Vedder	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Alena Kovackova	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Alena Kovackova - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Alena Kovackova - Antonia Stoyanov	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Weronika Falkowska - Alena Kovackova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWL

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