Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday


	Sonay Kartal		Aoi Ito

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.28	3.4
	1.2	4.1	Watch
	1.19	4.76
	1.19	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.2	4.17	Watch
	1.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.37)	4.13 ↑ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonay Kartal
77.3%

Aoi Ito
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sonay Kartal's performance.

Aoi Ito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aoi Ito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonay Kartal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aoi Ito than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aoi Ito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sonay Kartal - Aoi Ito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kartal is ranked WTA: 56. Ito is ranked WTA: 100.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kartal is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonay Kartal
WTA Roma
09.05.25	Linda Noskova - Sonay Kartal	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Kimberly Birrell - Sonay Kartal	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Sonay Kartal - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Sonay Kartal	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
15.04.25	Varvara Gracheva - Sonay Kartal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- Aoi Ito
ITF Tournaments
29.04.25	Aoi Ito - Lizette Cabrera	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Aoi Ito - Ena Shibahara	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Aoi Ito - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Aoi Ito - Mei Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Aoi Ito - Emina Bektas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWW

Sonay Kartal - Aoi Ito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide