Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Santa Tecla 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Sophia Biolay		Maria Fernanda Navarro

	1	2
	1.4	2.86
	1.08	5.93	Watch
	1.36	2.94	Watch
	1.53	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.55)	3.53 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sophia Biolay
72.4%

Maria Fernanda Navarro
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sophia Biolay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sophia Biolay's performance.

Maria Fernanda Navarro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Fernanda Navarro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sophia Biolay than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sophia Biolay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Fernanda Navarro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Fernanda Navarro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sophia Biolay - Maria Fernanda Navarro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Biolay is ranked WTA: 1059. Navarro is ranked WTA: 700.

Biolay is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Navarro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Navarro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Biolay could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Biolay will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sophia Biolay
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Avery Alexander - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Jade Bornay - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Sophia Biolay - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Dasha Ivanova - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Merel Hoedt - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- Maria Fernanda Navarro
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Kailey Evans - Maria Fernanda Navarro	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Misa Malkin - Maria Fernanda Navarro	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Chukwumelije Clarke - Maria Fernanda Navarro	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Maria Fernanda Navarro	2:0 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
06.09.25	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Maria Fernanda Navarro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL

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