Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Santa Tecla 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Merel Hoedt		Sophia Biolay

	1	2
	3.93	1.24
	3.84	1.21	Watch
	3.81	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.23)	1.23 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merel Hoedt
24.1%

Sophia Biolay
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merel Hoedt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merel Hoedt's form might have worsened.

Sophia Biolay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sophia Biolay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merel Hoedt than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sophia Biolay than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Merel Hoedt - Sophia Biolay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hoedt is ranked WTA: 780. Biolay is ranked WTA: 1059.

Hoedt is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Biolay is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hoedt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Biolay is considered a favorite.

We predict that Biolay will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hoedt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merel Hoedt
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Carolina Bohrer Martins - Merel Hoedt	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza - Merel Hoedt	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Daniela Martinez - Merel Hoedt	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Merel Hoedt - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Merel Hoedt - Kenzie Nguyen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- Sophia Biolay
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Sophia Biolay - Maria Fernanda Navarro	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Avery Alexander - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Jade Bornay - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Sophia Biolay - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Dasha Ivanova - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Merel Hoedt - Sophia Biolay	0:2

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