Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Lexington, KY (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday


	Sophie Chang		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
	1.8	1.87
	1.67	2.03
	1.77	1.97
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.71	2.03	Watch
	1.67	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.58)	2 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sophie Chang
53.7%

Elvina Kalieva
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sophie Chang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sophie Chang than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sophie Chang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvina Kalieva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sophie Chang - Elvina Kalieva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chang is ranked WTA: 254. Kalieva is ranked WTA: 288.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Chang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chang will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chang won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sophie Chang
ITF Tournaments
26.07.24	Kayla Day - Sophie Chang	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Aleksandra Krunic - Sophie Chang	Krunic A. retired ✺
24.07.24	Sophie Chang - Liv Hovde	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Mary Stoiana - Sophie Chang	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Sophie Chang - Iryna Shymanovich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 L?WWW
- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
26.07.24	Robin Anderson - Elvina Kalieva	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Elvina Kalieva - Yexin Ma	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Elvina Kalieva - Bridget Stammel	Kalieva E. retired ✺
17.07.24	Elvina Kalieva - Ayana Akli	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.24	Elvina Kalieva - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.04.23	Elvina Kalieva - Sophie Chang	0:2
15.01.22	Sophie Chang - Elvina Kalieva	2:0
21.05.21	Elvina Kalieva - Sophie Chang	0:2

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