Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Elvina Kalieva		Yexin Ma

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.60	2.25
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.57	2.28	Watch
	1.68	2.18
	1.64	2.14	Watch
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvina Kalieva
57.2%

Yexin Ma
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Yexin Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yexin Ma than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Elvina Kalieva - Yexin Ma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kalieva is ranked WTA: 117., and Ma is ranked WTA: 161..

Kalieva is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Ma have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ma could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Kalieva has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Elvina Kalieva - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.71%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Yexin Ma - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.29%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elvina Kalieva
WTA Beijing
30.09.26	Viktorija Golubic - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Elvina Kalieva - Han Shi	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Elvina Kalieva - Ellen Perez	2:0 ✺
WTA Seoul
20.09.26	Katie Volynets - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
14.09.26	Elvina Kalieva - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL
- Yexin Ma
WTA Beijing
28.09.26	Harriet Dart - Yexin Ma	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Yufei Ren - Yexin Ma	1:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
23.09.26	Yexin Ma - Kimberly Birrell	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Emerson Jones - Yexin Ma	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Eunhye Lee - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
13.01.26	Elvina Kalieva - Yexin Ma	2:0
ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Yexin Ma - Elvina Kalieva	2:0
25.07.24	Elvina Kalieva - Yexin Ma	2:0

Elvina Kalieva - Yexin Ma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide