Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Karuizawa, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Sora Fukuda		Koki Matsuda

	1	2
	1.79	2.05
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.69	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.83)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sora Fukuda
54%

Koki Matsuda
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sora Fukuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sora Fukuda than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sora Fukuda - Koki Matsuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fukuda is ranked ATP: 695. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 487.

Fukuda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Matsuda is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fukuda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fukuda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Sora Fukuda - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sora Fukuda
ITF Tournaments
27.05.26	Sora Fukuda - Yuta Tomida	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Sora Fukuda - Saki Tange	2:0 ✺
21.05.26	Tai Sach - Sora Fukuda	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Seung Woo Cho - Sora Fukuda	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Suk Ann - Sora Fukuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Koki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
27.05.26	Kentaro Otsuka - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Ko Suzuki - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Koki Matsuda - Chan-Yeong Oh	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Koki Matsuda - Cruz Hewitt	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Koki Matsuda - Alex Knaff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Sora Fukuda - Koki Matsuda	1:2
26.12.23	Koki Matsuda - Sora Fukuda	1:2

Sora Fukuda - Koki Matsuda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide