Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Singapore, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Koki Matsuda		Alex Knaff

	1	2
	1.79	2.05
	1.68	2.03	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.74	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.07)	2 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Matsuda
53.4%

Alex Knaff
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Koki Matsuda's performance.

Alex Knaff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Knaff might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Koki Matsuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Knaff than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Knaff could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Koki Matsuda - Alex Knaff Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 510. Knaff is ranked ATP: 781.

Matsuda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Knaff has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Koki Matsuda - Markus Malaszszak	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Koki Matsuda - Yuta Tomida	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.26	Hiroki Moriya - Koki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Yusuke Kusuhara - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Axel Nefve - Koki Matsuda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Alex Knaff
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Alex Knaff - Anton Shepp	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Bill Chan - Alex Knaff	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Jurij Rodionov - Alex Knaff	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Alex Knaff - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Lucas Poullain - Alex Knaff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL

Koki Matsuda - Alex Knaff: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide