Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir, hard - Final

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Stefano DAgostino		Yannik Kelm

	1	2
	1.64	2.06	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)	2.29 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stefano DAgostino
59.7%

Yannik Kelm
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano DAgostino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano DAgostino's performance.

Yannik Kelm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yannik Kelm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano DAgostino than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano DAgostino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannik Kelm than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yannik Kelm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stefano DAgostino - Yannik Kelm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

DAgostino is ranked ATP: 1044. Kelm is ranked ATP: 1041.

Now, both players are in good form.

Kelm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

DAgostino might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano DAgostino
ITF Tournaments
03.01.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
01.01.26	Gabriele Bosio - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
31.12.25	Mustapha El Natour - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Stefano DAgostino - Mathis Bondaz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL
- Yannik Kelm
ITF Tournaments
03.01.26	Remy Dugardin - Yannik Kelm	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Yannik Kelm - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Yannik Kelm - Matei Todoran	2:0 ✺
31.12.25	Yannik Kelm - Bogdan Seleznev	Seleznev B. retired ✺
23.12.25	Yannik Kelm - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWW?L

Upcoming Matches