Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Stefano Napolitano		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.45	1.36
	3.45	1.36
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.27	1.35	Watch
	3.4	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.6)	1.34 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
28.7%

Nicolas Jarry
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefano Napolitano's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	0%	67.9%

Stefano Napolitano - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Jarry will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 50.6% – 85.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Napolitano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jarry is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Napolitano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jarry is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Juncheng Shang - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
09.05.24	Stefano Napolitano - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Stefano Napolitano - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WW?LL
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Nicolas Jarry - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Marco Trungelliti - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Nicolas Jarry - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.24	Nicolas Jarry - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Stefano Napolitano - Nicolas Jarry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide