Match Info

Date: 17 October 2022, Monday


	Stefano Napolitano		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.55	1.5
	2.47	1.5
	2.53	1.54
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	4.6	1.18	Watch
	4.7	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.68)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
31%

Andrea Pellegrino
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Stefano Napolitano - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Napolitano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pellegrino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Napolitano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
04.10.22	Stefano Napolitano - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
03.10.22	Andrey Chepelev - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Andrea Guerrieri - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
19.09.22	Matteo Gigante - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Aleksandr Braynin - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
03.10.22	Jozef Kovalik - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Filip Misolic - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
23.09.22	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.04.21	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefano Napolitano	2:1
21.03.18	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefano Napolitano	2:0

Stefano Napolitano - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide