Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GENOVA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday


	Stefano Travaglia		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.31	1.64
	2.2	1.62
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.21	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.02)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
41.4%

Thiago Monteiro
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	0%	78.9%

Stefano Travaglia - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Monteiro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monteiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Travaglia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Tommy Paul - Stefano Travaglia	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Stefano Travaglia - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	John Millman - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
23.08.23	Stefano Travaglia - Norbert Gombos	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.23	Stefano Travaglia - Henri Squire	Travaglia S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWW?
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
30.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Thiago Monteiro - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
30.07.23	Thiago Monteiro - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Thiago Monteiro - Lukas Rosol	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
24.07.23	Thiago Monteiro - Guido Pella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.06.23	Stefano Travaglia - Thiago Monteiro	2:0
20.09.22	Stefano Travaglia - Thiago Monteiro	1:2
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
05.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Stefano Travaglia	0:2

Stefano Travaglia - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide