Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Luciano Darderi		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.19	4.2	Watch
	1.2	4.1	Watch
	1.23	4.49
	1.22	3.96	Watch
			Watch
	1.2	4.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.24)	4.22 ↑ (3.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
77.8%

Thiago Monteiro
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Luciano Darderi - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Monteiro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 50%). Monteiro (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Monteiro (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Monteiro (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 34. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 169.

Darderi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monteiro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Darderi is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
27.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Eliot Spizzirri	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Rinky Hijikata	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Andrej Martin - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Alexander Ritschard - Thiago Monteiro	Ritschard A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Luciano Darderi	2:0
30.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Thiago Monteiro	2:0

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