Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos (Greece), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.94	1.89
	1.89	1.87	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.4)	1.93 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
51.5%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefanos Sakellaridis's performance.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefanos Sakellaridis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Prado Angelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Sakellaridis will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Prado Angelo will win (votes: 7 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakellaridis: 59% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 488. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 294.

Sakellaridis in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Prado Angelo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Sakellaridis to win the game is with odds 1.97.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ITF Tournaments
23.02.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Emilien Demanet	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Petr Brunclik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Rei Sakamoto - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Gian Gruenig - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
03.02.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
27.01.25	Eduardo Ribeiro - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLL?

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