Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV


	Zachary Svajda		Steve Johnson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.67	2.16
	1.68	2.16
	1.65	2.28
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
	1.66	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.11)	2.15 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
56.3%

Steve Johnson
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zachary Svajda's performance.

Steve Johnson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Steve Johnson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zachary Svajda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steve Johnson than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steve Johnson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Zachary Svajda - Steve Johnson Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Svajda will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Johnson will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Johnson: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Svajda is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Johnson is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Johnson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
28.02.23	Zachary Svajda - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Jordan Thompson - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
24.02.23	Zachary Svajda - Elmar Ejupovic	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Zachary Svajda - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW
- Steve Johnson
ATP Acapulco
25.02.23	Steve Johnson - Nick Chappell	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.23	Steve Johnson - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.23	Steve Johnson - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Nuno Borges - Steve Johnson	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Hernan Casanova - Steve Johnson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

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