Match Info

Date: 7 September 2020, Monday


	Steven Diez		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.44
	2.57	1.52
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.68	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.87)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steven Diez
36.3%

Pedro Martinez Portero
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steven Diez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Steven Diez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Steven Diez - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diez is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Martinez Portero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Martinez Portero will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Diez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
03.09.20	Steven Diez - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
02.09.20	Steven Diez - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
25.08.20	Steven Diez - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
18.08.20	Michael Vrbensky - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Liga MAPFRE de Tenis Men
01.08.20	Guillermo Garcia-Lopez - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP US Open
31.08.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
21.08.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
20.08.20	Steve Johnson - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
Exhibition Liga MAPFRE de Tenis Men
25.07.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	Martinez P. retired ✺
24.07.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.09.16	Pedro Martinez Portero - Steven Diez	0:2
ITF Tournaments
30.07.15	Steven Diez - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2

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