Match Info

Date: 25 August 2020, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Steven Diez		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.72
	2.02	1.71
	2.23	1.67
	2.09	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.52)	1.72 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steven Diez
45.8%

Aslan Karatsev
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steven Diez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Steven Diez's performance.

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aslan Karatsev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Steven Diez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aslan Karatsev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.9%	0%	12.1%

Steven Diez - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Diez will win (votes: 51 - 87.9%). Karatsev will win (votes: 7 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diez: 79.5% – 96.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player has got a line of lost games.

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Diez will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
18.08.20	Michael Vrbensky - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Liga MAPFRE de Tenis Men
01.08.20	Guillermo Garcia-Lopez - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
31.07.20	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Steven Diez	1:2 ✺
30.07.20	Jordan Correia Passos Do Carmo - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
17.07.20	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Steven Diez	Diez S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWW?
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
24.08.20	Aslan Karatsev - Enzo Couacaud	2:1 ✺
22.08.20	Stanislas Wawrinka - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
21.08.20	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
20.08.20	Henri Laaksonen - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
19.08.20	Ernests Gulbis - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.09.17	Aslan Karatsev - Steven Diez	0:2
ATP Challenger
23.03.17	Aslan Karatsev - Steven Diez	1:2

Steven Diez - Aslan Karatsev