Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 3 (PORTUGAL), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Steven Diez		Pedro Sousa

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.35	1.58
	2.47	1.6
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.45	1.52	Watch
	2.34	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.2)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steven Diez
40.4%

Pedro Sousa
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steven Diez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Pedro Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	0%	13%

Steven Diez - Pedro Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: Steven Diez will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Diez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sousa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sousa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sousa to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Diez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
20.04.23	Steven Diez - Evan Furness	2:0 ✺
18.04.23	Joao Sousa - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Steven Diez - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Steven Diez - Kenny De Schepper	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Steven Diez - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL
- Pedro Sousa
ATP Challenger
20.04.23	Pedro Sousa - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
18.04.23	Pedro Sousa - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
04.04.23	Luca Van Assche - Pedro Sousa	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Pedro Sousa - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Jozef Kovalik - Pedro Sousa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.10.19	Pedro Sousa - Steven Diez	2:0

Steven Diez - Pedro Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide