Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ESTORIL (PORTUGAL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday


	Luca Van Assche		Pedro Sousa

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.34	3.3
	1.36	3.2
	1.41	3.14
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.37	3.1	Watch
	1.37	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	3.17 ↑ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
70%

Pedro Sousa
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Pedro Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Luca Van Assche - Pedro Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Sousa will win (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van Assche in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Sousa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Van Assche is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Van Assche to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
02.04.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Luca Van Assche - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
29.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
27.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW
- Pedro Sousa
ATP Estoril
02.04.23	Pedro Sousa - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Jozef Kovalik - Pedro Sousa	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.02.23	Pedro Sousa - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Pedro Sousa - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Pedro Sousa - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL

Luca Van Assche - Pedro Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide