Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CARY (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday


	Strong Kirchheimer		Quinn Vandecasteele

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	2.08	1.72
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.03	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.71)	1.74 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strong Kirchheimer
46.8%

Quinn Vandecasteele
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strong Kirchheimer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strong Kirchheimer's form might have worsened.

Quinn Vandecasteele has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quinn Vandecasteele's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strong Kirchheimer than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strong Kirchheimer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Quinn Vandecasteele, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Kirchheimer is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vandecasteele is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vandecasteele could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strong Kirchheimer
ATP Challenger
02.08.23	Tennys Sandgren - Strong Kirchheimer	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Strong Kirchheimer - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Strong Kirchheimer - James Kent Trotter	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Strong Kirchheimer - Colin Sinclair	0:2 ✺
03.07.23	Yunseong Chung - Strong Kirchheimer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL
- Quinn Vandecasteele
ITF Tournaments
03.08.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
02.08.23	Quinn Vandecasteele - Fabien Salle	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Aidan McHugh - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Ozan Baris - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
28.07.23	Quinn Vandecasteele - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWW

Strong Kirchheimer - Quinn Vandecasteele: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide