Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Orleans - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Stuart Parker		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.9	1.88
	1.86	1.82	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.19)	1.84 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuart Parker
49.5%

Lucas Poullain
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuart Parker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuart Parker's performance.

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuart Parker than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stuart Parker that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stuart Parker - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Parker will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Poullain will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Parker (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Parker is ranked ATP: 415. Poullain is ranked ATP: 366.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stuart Parker
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Matteo Martineau - Stuart Parker	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Harold Mayot - Stuart Parker	Parker S. retired ✺
28.08.25	Stuart Parker - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Stuart Parker - John Echeverria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WL?WW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Federico Cina - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Lucas Poullain - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Hamish Stewart - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Egor Gerasimov - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW

Stuart Parker - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide