Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Orleans - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Matteo Martineau		Stuart Parker

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.41
	1.58	2.28	Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.84)	2.23 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
57.8%

Stuart Parker
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Martineau's performance.

Stuart Parker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stuart Parker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Martineau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuart Parker than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stuart Parker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matteo Martineau - Stuart Parker Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Martineau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Martineau (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Martineau (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 278. Parker is ranked ATP: 415.

Martineau is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Parker's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martineau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Stuart Parker - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Matteo Martineau - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Lucas Poullain - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stuart Parker
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Harold Mayot - Stuart Parker	Parker S. retired ✺
28.08.25	Stuart Parker - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Stuart Parker - John Echeverria	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.01.20	Matteo Martineau - Stuart Parker	2:0

Matteo Martineau - Stuart Parker: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide