Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANDRIA (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 23 November 2022, Wednesday


	Stuart Parker		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.8	1.97
	1.87	1.9
	1.8	2.03
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.8	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.01)	1.94 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuart Parker
51.7%

Michael Geerts
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuart Parker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuart Parker's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuart Parker than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stuart Parker that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Geerts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Stuart Parker - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Parker will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Geerts will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parker: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Parker is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Geerts is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Geerts could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stuart Parker
ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	Gabriel Debru - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.11.22	Kacper Zuk - Stuart Parker	2:1 ✺
11.11.22	Stuart Parker - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
10.11.22	Stuart Parker - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
22.11.22	Michael Mmoh - Michael Geerts	Canceled ✺
19.11.22	Michael Geerts - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
18.11.22	Alexis Galarneau - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
16.11.22	Taha Baadi - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
14.11.22	Michael Geerts - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 ?LWWW

Stuart Parker - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide