Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHENNAI (INDIA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 February 2023, Friday


	Sumit Nagal		Jay Clarke

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.55	2.4
	1.61	2.38
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.52	2.45	Watch
	1.64	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.46)	2.31 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
59.3%

Jay Clarke
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumit Nagal's form might have worsened.

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jay Clarke's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jay Clarke, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Sumit Nagal - Jay Clarke Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Clarke will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Clarke is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Clarke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nagal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nagal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
16.02.23	Sumit Nagal - Jason Jung	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Ryan Peniston - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Ji Sung Nam - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Sumit Nagal - Dayne Kelly	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
04.02.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWW?L
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
16.02.23	Jay Clarke - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Jay Clarke - Prajnesh Gunneswaran	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Ryan Peniston - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
16.01.23	Jay Clarke - Lucas Gerch	1:2 ✺
11.01.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.08.20	Jay Clarke - Sumit Nagal	Clarke J. retired
12.11.18	Sumit Nagal - Jay Clarke	2:0
25.11.17	Sumit Nagal - Jay Clarke	2:1

Sumit Nagal - Jay Clarke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide